Saturday, July 17, 2004

Presidential Auction 2004

BeatBushBlog has a post showing results of some electoral vote predictors, for what it's worth at this point in the game.

Electoral Vote Predictor...uses the latest state polls to predict who will win the election. Right now it has Kerry with 312 electoral votes (270 are needed to win), and Bush with 215. Tennessee is rated "Exactly Tied," so its 11 electoral votes aren't allocated to either candidate.

...There are three other sites I know of that try to do the same thing as Electoral Vote Predictor. Compare and contrast:

* State-by-state poll projections has Kerry 327, Bush 200, undecided 11
* 2.004k.com has Kerry 292, Bush 246
* Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball has Kerry 274, Bush 264


....but hey, do what you want....you will anyway.

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