Sunday, September 12, 2004

Explosion in North Korea

On Thursday.

North Korea, who's been trying ever since we ran off to invade Iraq to get our attention regarding their nuclear capability has apparently rocked the mountains.

Nevertheless, it's being reported that it's unlikely that it was nuclear.

As has been widely reported, a 4 km wide mushroom cloud that was clearly visible from space and followed a massive explosion that occurred Thursday in North Korea near its border with China apparently was not the result of a nuclear test. We have it from somewhat reliable authority—Colin Powell, U.S. Secretary of State—who said he does not believe those events are related to the communist country's suspected nuclear weapons program.
  Official Spin article

Oh yes, we're well aware how reliable Colin 'Mobile Labs' Powell is.

"There was no indication that was a nuclear event of any kind. Exactly what it was, we're not sure," he said.

During a recent interview, Condoleezza Rice, the U.S. National Security Adviser, chimed-in with her own brand of bullshit.

"We don't think, at this point, it was a nuclear event, but we're looking at it and will get further analysis," she said.

"There are all kinds of reports and all kinds of assessments that are going on. Maybe it was a fire—some kind of forest fire," she added.

Brilliant woman. Maybe Condi could use a brain transfusion.

Maybe it was a giant asteroid crashing. Maybe it was some kind of ball lightning event. Maybe....

Even the dopiest of us can make stupid guesses.

A Foreign Ministry official said, “Related equipment needs to be set up beforehand, and many wirings need for the nuclear test, but such movements have not been detected so far.”

An official of the Korea Meteorological Administration also explained, “A related seismic wave would be perceived if there was a nuclear test either above the ground or underground. But no such wave was measured around Sept. 9 when the explosion is said to have happened.”

To some media’s reports that “a mushroom cloud 3 to 4 kilometers in diameter appeared,” a high official in Cheong Wa Dae responded, “The weather was a bit cloudy at the time of the accident and many clouds were mixed. We are carrying out a close analysis.”

A staff in the Korea Institute for Defense Analysis explained, “A mushroom cloud is seen in all large-scale explosions, not only in a nuclear explosion. It is related to the scale of an explosion, not to the cause or characteristics of the explosion.”
  Donga.com article

So just settle down. We weren't told about it for three days. I guess we're not in any hurry to find out what caused it.

Speaking on Fox News Sunday, Secretary Powell played down the severity of the North Korean explosion.

"We have seen reports of this explosion, but based on all the information that we have, it was not any type of nuclear event," he said. "We are trying to find out more about it, and what exactly it was, if anything, but it does not appear to be a nuclear event."

He said the United States is monitoring newspaper reports that there is activity going on at a potential North Korean nuclear test site.
  article

Are you sure that's what he said? Monitoring "newspaper reports"?

I'm fine with that. You? I guess this administration really is the right one to protect us.



At present, it seems that the explosion was not caused by a nuclear test, but there is a high possibility that it is somehow connected to military purposes since it took place in a mountainous region 1,500 meters above sea level around the Sino-Korean border where there are few civilians living and many war plants and missile bases nearby.

In addition, there is talk that the explosion was even bigger that the one that took place during the Ryongchon Station accident last April. Some even raised suspicion that it may have to do with a nuclear test following the report that a mushroom cloud over 3km in diameter was seen. Others said that it may have been the activity of anti-government forces within the North. The Japanese media has reported that it is likely connected to a nuclear test.

North Korea needs to explain what caused the explosion and what the current development is not to add fuel to the fire amid a series of reports of abnormal signs. Actually, there have been rumors in the U.S. that a shocking incident would occur in North Korea in October and a major explosion test would take place in a remote mountain village near the Gaema Plateau.

...The National Security Council standing meeting was held three days after the massive explosion in question and that was the time the defense minister reported the accident.
  Chosun Ilbo editorial

I guess if the defense minister hadn't reported the accident, we still wouldn't know.



“Other than the assumption that it may be a simple accident that took place due to old facilities, we cannot exclude the possibility that the explosion may have taken place due to the lack of control of the Kim Jong-il regime, or it may have been connected to a secret feud over the successor of Kim Jong-il following the rumor of death of Kim’s wife, Koh Young-hee.”

Also, some strongly argue that it is not a simple accident because it took place on Sept.9, the North’s foundation day, which is considered a very important national holiday. Others argue that with Korea’s nuclear experiments in the past at issue in the international community, it could be a false explosion by North Korea to intensify the Korea’s nuclear issue. In other words, the North intentionally caused the explosion to deliver a message to the international community.
  Chosun Ilbo article

Every one of these guesses is less lame than Nimnuts Rice's "some kind of forest fire".

The government official said, “We will be able to know the exact cause only after North Korea makes an official statement or intelligence authorities announces the results of their analysis.”

And only then if the North Korean official statement is the truth.

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