Scientists working on a project sponsored by the Air Force Research Laboratory now have a forecasting model that they claim can accurately predict civil unrest against foreign governments.
Against “foreign” governments? Ha. I can predict that, too, if you give me the CIA playbook.
At any rate, why not U.S. civil unrest? I think somebody’s selectively leaving out something in this report.
And then what? Minority report? Pre-crime police?[The] Predictive Societal Indicators of Radicalism Model of Domestic Political Violence Forecast [ed: I wonder what they call this thing – the acronym would be a bit unwieldy. ...] "will be integrated into strategic planning, early crisis warning and contingency planning-type operations."
Another academic involved in the model's development, Kansas State's Amanda Murdie, says that the most surprising discovery made during the coding and analysis project had to do with human rights:For me, the most surprising thing was that human rights matter:
Jesus, what is she? A member of the American ruling class?
According to the model, Iran, Sri Lanka, Russia, Georgia and Israel are the five countries most likely to face "political violence" between 2011 and 2014.[...]
Other countries on the top 25 list include some surprising predictions -- the Czech Republic (#10), Italy (#12), Jordan (#17) and Ireland (#21) alongside Colombia (#13) and Tunisia (#25), which has seen major protests against the government in the last few days that included occasional violence.
Egypt, however, only ranked 36.
Let’s have a look at that CIA playbook, and then we can tighten up our predictions.
....but hey, do what you want....you will anyway.
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